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Mario Bautista vs. Patchy Mix prediction, odds, pick for UFC 316
@Source: clutchpoints.com
The Main Card of UFC 316 is fully underway as we bring you another betting prediction and pick for this highly anticipated fight in the Bantamweight (135) Division. No. 10-ranked Mario Bautista will take on the debuting Patchy Mix in a fight you won’t want to miss! Check the UFC odds series for our Bautista-Mix prediction and pick.
Mario Bautista (15-2) has gone in impressive 9-2 during his UFC run since 2019. He’s currently riding one of the division’s longest active winning streaks at seven fights, most recently taking down legend Jose Aldo during a split decision effort. Now, he’ll look to protect his ranking against a dangerous debuting fighter. Bautista stands 5-foot-9 with a 72-inch reach.
Patchy Mix (20-1) will be making his UFC debut during this fight following his departure from Bellator. There, he served as the promotion’s Bantamweight Champion and amassed a 9-1 record while earning, unifying, and defending his championship belt. He comes in as the betting favorite. Mix stands 5-foot-8 with a 72-inch reach.
Here are the UFC 316 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC 316 Odds: Mario Bautista-Patchy Mix Odds
Mario Bautista: +150
Patchy Mix: -180
Over 2.5 rounds: -188
Under 2.5 rounds: +145
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Why Mario Bautista Will Win
Last Fight: (W) Jose Aldo – S DEC
Last 5: 5-0
Finishes: 3 KO/TKO, 6 SUB
Mario Bautista made a huge statement with his last win over Jose Aldo, and although the fight was close in the decision, Bautista proved he can walk through the fire and come out the other side a winner. He’s a tremendous boxer with great hand speed, utilizing all parts of his offense to set up clean combinations. He’s also a very skilled wrestler and can submit on the ground, so expect another well-rounded performance out of him in this one.
This current streak Bautista is on has been much about his ability to control the pace of the fight and land on his opponents without sustaining much damage himself. During this fight, he’ll have to focus on his defensive grappling and advancing positions against a world-class jiu-jitsu practitioner like Mix. Still, if he’s able to keep it on his feet, he’ll have his best chance at dictating the pace and leading in terms of the striking.
To win here, Bautista will have to stuff the takedowns confidently and force Mix to fight his style. If he’s able to deter the takedowns, it will force his opponent to be wary of counter-punching and making quick decisions. If Bautista can slow this fight down and focus on his fundamental striking, he should be able to win as the betting underdog.
Why Patchy Mix Will Win
Last Fight: (W) Magomed Magomedov – S DEC
Last 5: 5-0
Finishes: 2 KO/TKO, 13 SUB
Patchy Mix will make his long-awaited UFC debut in this fight after carving out a name as one of the top champions in Bellator’s history. He’s a devastating jiu-jitsu practitioner and has found four submission wins during this current seven-fight winning streak he’s on. He fights at a blistering pace, and his ability to knock opponents out only adds to his danger as a debuting prospect.
While it may be his UFC debut, Mix has championship experience at Bellator that will serve him well during this fight. He’s extremely twitchy and quick with his movements, so expect him to use a ton of feints in keeping his opponent guessing. It’ll only be a matter of time before he shoots for an opportunistic takedown, but he hardly ever forces them and will wait for the perfect moment to strike.
To win this fight, confidence will be Patchy’s biggest key in fighting for a new organization. This is certainly a step-up in competition for him, but he has to start somewhere, as a win would propel him into the heart of the division. Look for him to prove his striking worth against Bautista while trying to catch him off-guard with attempts on his legs and back.
Final Mario Bautista-Patchy Mix Prediction & Pick
Fans have been waiting for Patchy Mix to make his UFC debut for quite some time, and it comes against a great opponent in Mario Bautista. Bautista has been one of the hottest fighters in the division and doesn’t have many holes to his game, so it’ll be interesting to see if Mix can find his offense or if Bautista will dictate this fight with his boxing pace.
Ultimately, I think both men will put forth a great effort, and I can see this fight contending for “Fight of the Night.” However, Bautista has more experience in this spo,t and his bouts against some of the division’s best should bode well for him in this one. His submission defense will be the difference for him as he pulls out a tough decision win in this one.
Final Mario Bautista-Patchy Mix Prediction & Pick: Mario Bautista (+154)
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