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26 Apr, 2025
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UFC Kansas City Fight Card: Odds, Lines, Prop Bets, Predictions, Picks
@Source: forbes.com
KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - APRIL 25: Carlos Prates of Brazil poses on the scale at the Hilton Kansas ... More City Airport on April 25, 2025 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Mike Roach/Zuffa LLC) Saturday’s UFC Kansas City fight card sees top-15 ranked UFC welterweights Ian Machado Garry and Carlos Prates face off in the main event. The UFC Fight Night event marks the promotion’s first trip to Kansas City, Missouri, since April 2023. In the UFC Fight Night co-main event, former UFC light heavyweight title challenger Anthony Smith faces Zhang Mingyang in what Smith says is his farewell fight. We look at the betting odds, line movement, prediction, picks, and prop bets for the UFC Kansas City fight card. ESPN2 broadcasts the main card for the UFC Kansas City event, following prelims streaming on ESPN+. UFC Kansas City Main Event: Ian Machado Garry Vs. Carlos Prates Machado Garry (15-1) has an 8-1 record under the UFC banner. The 27-year-old has five decisions and three knockouts. In June 2024, Machado Garry defeated Michael “Venom” Page at UFC 303 to earn his eighth straight win under the UFC banner. However, he tasted defeat in his next outing, dropping a decision to Shavkat Rakhmonov at UFC 310. Machado Garry initially came across as a Conor McGregor clone, but the confident Irish fighter has found his own personality as a competitor who is more than willing to take on the toughest the competitors the UFC can book him against, something he did again in accepting this fight on short notice. Machado Garry is the No. 7 ranked UFC welterweight. Carlos Prates (21-6) joined the UFC in 2023 with a knockout win on a Dana White’s Contender Series card. Since then, the 31-year-old has gone 4-0 with the UFC, winning each of those fights by knockout. Prates also earned performance bonuses for each of his four knockouts. In his most recent outings, Prates scored an August 2024 stoppage of Li Jingliang before moving on to defeat Neal Magny via TKO on a UFC Fight Night Card in November. MORE FOR YOU DOGE-Trolling Ransomware Hackers Demand $1 Trillion In Chilling Attack Google Starts Scanning Your Photos—3 Billion Users Must Now Decide Google Confirms Gmail Update—How To Keep Your Email Account Prates, a member of The Fighting Nerds team, is on an 11-fight winning streak overall. The UFC had Prates booked to face Geoff Neal at UFC 314, but that fight fell apart when Neal withdrew from the contest in late March. With that, Prates was moved to the top of this fight card when Garry agreed to face him on short notice. Prates is the No. 13 fighter in the UFC’s official 170-pound rankings. When the betting odds opened for this scrap, Machado Garry was a -125 betting favorite over the +105 Prates. The betting lines now have Machado Garry at -145 and Prates as the +120 betting underdog. Most of the bets for this fight have come in on Prates (56 percent), while the majority of the money has been wagered on Machado Garry (63 percent). The betting pick is Prates to win via knockout. UFC Kansas City Co-Main Event: Anthony Smith Vs. Zhang Mingyang KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - APRIL 25: Zhang Mingyang of China poses on the scale at the Hilton Kansas ... More City Airport on April 25, 2025 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Mike Roach/Zuffa LLC) Zhang Mingyang was a substantial -550 betting favorite when the odds opened for this light heavyweight matchup. Meanwhile, Anthony Smith came in as the +400 betting underdog for his final fight. Smith’s odds have improved a bit, but not much. Today, he is listed at +360, while Mingyang is -500. With the odds being so lopsided in this fight, it’s no surprise to see bettors looking for value. Smith has 87 percent of the bets and 85 percent of the money on him. The betting pick is Mingyang to win via knockout. UFC Kansas City: Giga Chikadze Vs. David Onama KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - APRIL 25: David Onama of Uganda poses on the scale at the Hilton Kansas City ... More Airport on April 25, 2025 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Mike Roach/Zuffa LLC) Giga Chikadze was the only fighter to miss weight for the UFC Kansas City card. He came in one pound over the limit for his featherweight fight against David Onama. Despite the weight miss, the fight will go on. Chikadze was fined 20 percent of his fight purse. Onama opened as the -200 favorite over the +165 Chikadze. Today, Onama is -170 and Chikadze +140. Chikadze has 58 percent of the bets, but 77 percent of the money is on Onama. The betting pick is Onama to win via decision. UFC Kansas City: Michel Pereira Vs. Abusupiyan Magomedov KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - APRIL 25: Michel Pereira of Brazil poses on the scale at the Hilton Kansas ... More City Airport on April 25, 2025 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Mike Roach/Zuffa LLC) Next, we have a middleweight matchup between Michel Pereira and Abusupiyan Magomedov. Pereira opened as the -165 favorite over the +140 Magomedov. Pereira remains the favorite at -145, while Magomedov is now +120. Magomedov has 52 percent of the bets, while Pereira has 71 percent of the handle. The betting pick is Pereira to win via knockout. UFC Kansas City: Randy Brown Vs. Nicolas Dalby KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - APRIL 25: Randy Brown of Jamaica poses on the scale at the Hilton Kansas ... More City Airport on April 25, 2025 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Mike Roach/Zuffa LLC) A welterweight bout between Randy Brown and Nicolas Dalby is the second matchup on the UFC Kansas City fight card. Brown opened as the -200 favorite, and he has moved to -275. Meanwhile, Dalby was +165 and is now the +220 betting underdog. Dalby has a slight advantage when it comes to bets in his favor at 51 percent, but nearly all the money has come in on Brow at 98 percent. The betting pick is Brown to win via decision. UFC Kansas City: Ikram Aliskerov Vs. André Muniz KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - APRIL 25: Ikram Aliskerov of Russia poses on the scale at the Hilton Kansas ... More City Airport on April 25, 2025 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Mike Roach/Zuffa LLC) Opening the UFC Kansas City main card is a middleweight scrap between Ikram Aliskerov and André Muniz. The opening odds were lopsided for this one with Aliskerov at -650 and Muniz at +475. The line has moved a little, but the odds remain very much in favor of Aliskerov (-500), while Muniz is +360. Despite the odds in this one, bettors are not seeing much value in an upset as only 58 percent of the bets are on Muniz, while 96 percent of the handle is on Aliskerov. The betting pick is Aliskerov to win via knockout. *All odds and percentages via BetMGM UFC Kansas City Prop Bets To Consider Carlos Prates to beat Ian Machado Garry via KO/TKO: +175 Ian Machado Garry to beat Carlos Prates via decision: +235 Zhang Mingyang to beat Anthony Smith via KO/TKO: -235 Zhang Mingyang to finish Anthony Smith in Round 1: -115 Zhang Mingyang to finish Anthony Smith in Round 2: +400 Anthony Smith to beat Zhang Mingyang: +300 Giga Chikadze to beat David Onama via KO/TKO: +475 David Onama to beat Giga Chikadze via decision: +160 Michel Pereira vs. Abus Magomedov to go the distance: +160 Randy Brown vs. Nicolas Dalby to go the distance: -215 *Odds via Betonline UFC Kansas City Fight Card Date: Saturday, April 26 UFC Kansas City Fight Card Time: Prelims: 6:00 p.m. ET Main Card: 9:00 p.m. ET UFC Kansas City Fight Card Location: T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, MO UFC Kansas City Fight Card How To Watch Or Stream: Prelims: ESPN+ Main Card: ESPN2 We will have more on the UFC Kansas City fight card and the Ian Machado Garry vs. Carlos Prates fight as fight night nears, inlduing full fight card results on fight night. 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